Landslide, tsunami …

Matthew Hoy
By Matthew Hoy on August 31, 2010

Liken it to whatever natural disaster you will, it looks like Democrats are going to get demolished come November.

gallupchart The 10-point margin for Republicans on the generic ballot is the largest since Gallup started polling on that subject in the 1940s. Democrats have had bigger margins (at the height of the Watergate scandal), but never Republicans.

It’s the economy stupid, and despite “recovery summer” and President Obama telling us that we’re heading in the right direction, people aren’t buying it.

Jeff Dobbs illustrates this disconnect between our political elites and what I like to call “reality” with this chart:

Obama direction

I’m pretty confident that Nancy Pelosi won’t be Speaker of the House come January – and that’s not just because Joe “LeBron will stay in Cleveland” Biden assured us of Democratic control. The question will be whether Republicans can capture 10 seats in the Senate – a long shot merely because Democrats have relatively few seats to defend in this off-year election.

What will be interesting to see at that point is whether President Obama pulls a Clinton and tacks more to the political center or if he remains steadfast and becomes a 1 term president.

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