I'm feeling it today because The New York Times' Maureen Dowd got caught plagiarizing Talking Points Memo Josh Marshall.

Here are the odds on Dowd's punishment:

Termination of employment: 1 million to 1

Unpaid suspension of two weeks or more: 500 to 1

Unpaid suspension of less than two weeks: 300 to 1

A "clarification" and an "apology": 9 to 5

Odds that the Times' credibility continues to tank: 1 to 1

UPDATE!

NYTPicker has been in contact with Ms. Dowd and her explanation appears to be that she copied the paragraph at issue directly from an e-mail from an anonymous friend who did not reveal the original source to her.

When Jeff Jacoby did something similar at The Boston Globe he was suspended for four months without pay. Don't expect nearly the same punishment for Dowd.